Soccer

2023 Women’s World Cup odds: Oddsmaker’s take on semifinals, futures

Only 4 groups stay on the Women’s World Cup oddsboard because the 32-team event heads towards the semifinals. The one certainty: A brand new champion will raise the Cup this yr, as not one of the 4 groups has a previous Women’s World Cup title to its credit score.

But which two groups will play for the trophy? Will semifinal favorites Spain and England advance to Sunday’s championship match? Will Sweden proceed its upstart run? Or will host Australia proceed making its house followers delightfully delirious?

WynnBet dealer Dominick DeBonis lets us in on what bettors take into consideration Women’s World Cup semifinal odds forward of the Tuesday and Wednesday matches.

Let’s leap into the motion.

Working Overtime

Spain meets Sweden within the first semifinal, set for 4 a.m. ET Tuesday on FOX and the FOX Sports app. The Spanish aspect is coming off a 2-1 additional time victory towards the Netherlands. Sweden, which beat Team USA within the spherical of 16, adopted with a 2-1 quarterfinal victory over fellow World Cup upstart Japan.

WynnBet opened the three-way moneyline at Spain +105/Sweden +286/Draw +230. Late Sunday evening, simply over 24 hours till kickoff, there was no motion on these odds.

“There’s equal ticket count on the two sides of the three-way bets and virtually nothing on Draw,” DeBonis mentioned. “It seems like Sweden in extra time would be the ideal house result.”

So WynnBet is rooting for Draw in regulation plus harm time, then hoping the Swedes win in additional time. But as DeBonis famous, the big majority of American bettors aren’t enthused about betting for a tie, although there have been a number of attracts on this tourney.

“It’s kind of an anomaly for an international tournament, but I was going through the results, and if you blind bet Draw for one Unit every game, you’re up close to three units,” DeBonis mentioned. “This was strongly aided by the 10/1 result on the Jamaica-France Draw. Overall, I would still say it’s not a successful long-term strategy to bet Draw.

“And the American viewers, which isn’t programmed to count on a tie, doesn’t present a lot curiosity in them.”

Of course, there are several ways to bet on Women’s World Cup odds. If you’d rather not deal with the three-way moneyline, the two-way To Advance market perhaps better suits you. It’s as simple as it sounds: Which team will advance to the championship match, whether in regulation/injury time, overtime or on penalty kicks.

In that market, Spain is -189 and Sweden +146, at present.

Rising Up Down Under

When this tournament opened, Australia was among the top handful of teams in odds to win the Women’s World Cup. The Matildas took the long route through the quarterfinals to beat France. The match was tied 0-0 after 120 minutes of play — regular time plus overtime — and the Aussies then won 7-6 in a penalty-kick shootout.

England found itself in a 1-0 against Colombia in the 44th minute of a quarterfinal match. But the English side responded to tie it in first-half injury time en route to a 2-1 victory.

WynnBet’s three-way moneyline opened at England +115/Australia +270/Draw +218. Perhaps not surprisingly, the three-way line has moved a bit in favor of the home underdog, now sitting at England +125/Australia +253/Draw +210.

Still, between three-way moneyline play, Draw No Bet — a market in which bets are on one team or the other to win in regulation plus injury time — and To Advance, this match is very much drawing dollars on both teams.

“It’s good, balanced motion by advantage of needing Australia or Draw on the three-way and needing England on the Draw No Bet and To Advance markets,” DeBonis said, while noting a little sharp play on the Aussies. “The motion on Draw No Bet has come from a few gamers we respect and is an efficient sharp indicator for the Matildas.”

WynnBet’s Draw No Bet market has England -180 and Australia +140.

Root Root Root for the Home Team

Looking at the championship futures market, WynnBet and pretty much every other U.S. sportsbook dodged huge liability — read: the sportsbooks won big — when Team USA unexpectedly bowed out in the round of 16. But oddsmakers still have preferred outcomes among the four remaining sides.

Spain and England are practically co-favorites to lift the Cup, with Spain +175 and England +185 at WynnBet. Australia follows at +420, and Sweden is the +550 fourth choice.

Nothing would please WynnBet greater than a host-country championship.

“On the outright market, we’re a small loss to Spain, first rate wins to England and Sweden and a scoop-the-pot-type win to Australia,” DeBonis said. “We have been break-even to Spain coming into the quarters, however their sturdy efficiency towards the Netherlands and advancing to the semis a day earlier than England introduced a wave of motion on Spain.”

Patrick Everson is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist in the national sports betting space. He’s based in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golfing in 110-degree heat. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas



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