4 bets our expert loves this week in Georgia

Winter is coming.

But there’s nonetheless one cease remaining in the PGA Tour’s 2022-23 fall calendar: the RSM Classic at Sea Island, In Georgia. 

Tony Finau is in the sector, recent off a runaway win final week in Houston. He’s additionally the runaway favourite on the betting board, adopted by Brian Harman, Jason Day and Seamus Power.

So, who ya obtained?

Andy Lack has some ideas. In retaining along with his weekly customized, Golf.com’s expert prognosticator has crunched the numbers, assessing each the course and participant stats to reach at his 4 high picks for the occasion: a winner, a high 10, a high 40 and a matchup.

Lack does this for a dwelling. But as a result of we additionally wish to see the place public sentiment is leaning, we’re additionally sharing information from Chirp, a free-to-play cellular platform (and Golf.com affiliate) that provides followers a spread of the way to have interaction in the motion.

You can see that data, together with Lack’s picks, under.

Andy Lack’s Picks

Outright Pick to Win: Tom Hoge (+3100)

(Odds out there on Bet365)

Coming off a disappointing missed lower on the Mayakoba Championship, Hoge is primed for a bounce again on a course that has been sort to him over time. With three top-25 finishes, two-top-10s and a fourth-place end right here final yr, the 33-year-old clearly feels at house right here. This shouldn’t come as a shock, because the TCU product is without doubt one of the most correct drivers in this subject, and he stays the primary wedge participant in this subject as nicely. His breakthrough win final yr at Pebble Beach got here at one other coastal, wedge-heavy golf course. I count on him to seek out comparable success this week in Georgia. 

Top 10: Davis Riley (+450)

(Odds out there on DraftKings Sportsbook):

While Riley’s course historical past (76th-MC) at Sea Island actually leaves lots to be desired, it’s value mentioning that the Mississippi native completed twenty fifth and eleventh at this course on the 2016 and 2017 SEC Championship. Riley performed his collegiate golf at Alabama, and lots of of his finest PGA Tour placing performances, together with his two profession Korn Ferry Tour wins, have come on Bermuda greens. Coming off a stable twenty seventh on the Houston Open the place he gained over two strokes off the tee and three.5 strokes on method, search for the 25-year-old to hold his momentum again to his favourite a part of the nation. 

Top 40: Justin Lower

Similar to Hoge, Lower is a participant I’m eager on this week because of his elite mid-to-short-iron play. After Hoge, Lower ranks second in this subject in long-term proximity from 125-175. The 33-year-old is coming off a missed lower final week in Houston, however now he returns to a course that fits him higher. Lower has already racked up top-20s this fall swing on shorter, positional, wedge-heavy golf programs corresponding to Port Royal, TPC Summerlin, and Silverado, and I count on his sturdy type to proceed this week. 

Matchup: Matt Kuchar (-120) over Taylor Moore:

While I’ve my issues about Kuchar’s potential to shut out a match at this stage of his profession, he stays a rock-solid possibility to complete in the highest 30 any given week. The nine-time PGA Tour winner has completed thirtieth or higher in all three of his begins this fall swing, and now he returns to a course the place he’s had six top-30 finishes in eight appearances. Taylor Moore, however, is a extra risky possibility. He struggled mightily in Houston final week regardless of catching the favorable facet of the draw, and he’s a well-below-average wedge participant. I count on the veteran to roll in this matchup. 

Chirp Data

As its identify suggests, the Trifecta recreation on Chirp requires customers to make three picks: a favourite, a contender and a protracted shot, all classes primarily based on the Official World Golf Ranking. With lots of of votes already in, right here’s a take a look at the leaders in every class, together with the proportion of assist they’ve acquired. To get in on the enjoyable, (*4*).

Favorite


Tony Finau (59.14)

Kevin Kisner (11.28)

Brian Harman (5.84)

Contender

Webb Simpson (15.18)

Joel Dahmen (14.79)

Jason Day (14.79)

Long Shot

Patton Kizzire (16.34)

David Lingmerth (12.45)

Josh Sens

Golf.com Contributor

A golf, meals and journey author, Josh Sens has been a GOLF Magazine contributor since 2004 and now contributes throughout all of GOLF’s platforms. His work has been anthologized in The Best American Sportswriting. He can be the co-author, with Sammy Hagar, of Are We Having Any Fun Yet: the Cooking and Partying Handbook.