Former U.S. Open champ is our long-shot pick

This week the PGA Tour heads to Mexico for the 2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta, and we’re choosing a protracted shot who is flashing indicators of his previously elite degree of play. Here’s our pick, the Mexico Open betting favorites and the whole lot else it’s essential to know for the week.

Mexico Open odds: Long-shot guess

The betting odds for this week’s Mexico Open are so lopsided, any participant exterior of defending champion Jon Rahm and Tony Finau might be thought-about a protracted shot. With that in thoughts, we’re placing our cash on Gary Woodland, who comes into the week with +3300 odds to win.

Woodland, the 2019 U.S. Open champion, is having a strong season. He has recorded two high 10s to this point this yr, together with a T9 on the Cadence Bank Houston Open and one other T9 on the Genesis Invitational in opposition to a star-studded subject. At the primary main of the yr, Woodland flashed some effective kind, opening with a 68 at Augusta National for a T14 Masters end, following it up with a T31 on the RBC Heritage. On high of that, he’s solely missed three cuts in 14 begins.

Last season he collected 5 high 10s and two high 5s, and he completed T24 on the Mexico Open, the primary time the event was an official PGA Tour occasion.

If Rahm understandably stumbles out of the gate as a consequence of his whirlwind previous few weeks, it will open an awesome alternative for Woodland. Should he pull off a victory, a $10 guess on his aspect will earn you $330. For an insurance coverage guess or one with much less threat, contemplate an extra guess for Woodland to complete within the high 10 or high 20.

How final week’s lengthy shot fared

For final week’s Zurich Classic of New Orleans, we picked Joel Dahmen and Denny McCarthy as our lengthy pictures to win the one workforce occasion on the PGA Tour schedule at +4000.

Dahmen and McCarthy didn’t disappoint, placing collectively 4 strong rounds to outplay their pre-tournament odds and end T11 at 21 below. It wasn’t precisely a long-shot win, however it was the fifth top-11 or higher end for our long-shot picks this yr, so we’re inching again in the suitable route.

PAST RESULTS

2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans: Denny McCarthy/Joel Dahmen (Odds: +4000; Finish: T11)
2023 RBC Heritage: Tom Kim (Odds: +3500; Finish: MC)
2023 Masters: Tommy Fleetwood (Odds: +6600; Finish: 33)
2023 Valspar Championship: David Lingmerth (Odds: +12500; Finish: T27)
2023 Players Championship: Corey Conners (Odds: +6600; Finish: MC)
2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Billy Horschel (Odds: +10000; Finish: MC)
2023 Honda Classic: Sepp Straka (Odds: +5000; Finish: T5)
2023 Genesis Invitational: Adam Scott (Odds: +5500; Finish: 65)
2023 WM Phoenix Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +8000; Finish: T10)
2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Beau Hossler (Odds +8000; Finish: T11)
2023 Farmers Insurance Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +10000; Finish: T11)
2023 Sony Open in Hawaii: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +5000; Finish: T73)
2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions: Ryan Brehm (Odds: +75000; Finish: T35)

Mexico Open odds: The favorites

The record of betting favorites for this week’s Mexico Open is as lopsided because it will get. Rahm — the defending champion, Masters champion and World No. 1 — has odds to win of +240. Not far behind is Tony Finau, who completed T2 in Mexico final yr, at +750.

For third place the oddsmakers have Wyndham Clark early within the week, however his odds to win drop steeply to +2000.

You can see the highest 10 and ties in Mexico Open betting odds as of Monday morning under, or head over to BetMGM to see the complete record of odds and bets for this week.

2023 Mexico Open betting odds (Top 10 and ties)

Jon Rahm (+240)
Tony Finau (+750)
Wyndham Clark (+2000)
Patrick Rodgers (+3000)
Gary Woodland (+3300)
Aaron Rai (+4000)
Alex Noren (+4000)
Byeong Hun An (+4000)
Maverick McNealy (+4000)
Nicolai Hojgaard (+4000)

Kevin Cunningham

Golf.com Editor

As managing producer for GOLF.com, Cunningham edits, writes and publishes tales on GOLF.com, and manages the model’s e-newsletters, which attain greater than 1.4 million subscribers every month. A former two-time intern, he additionally helps hold GOLF.com buzzing exterior the news-breaking tales and repair content material supplied by our reporters and writers, and works with the tech workforce within the growth of recent merchandise and progressive methods to ship an interesting web site to our viewers.