World Cup Group Scenarios: What does each team need to advance?

SPORTSAREENA.comNovember 29, 2022

48 9 minutes read

Martin Rogers

FOX Sports Insider

AL KHOR, Qatar — We are edging nearer to the top of the group stage, which wraps Tuesday. So which groups are in place to advance, and what wants to occur for them to get there?

Here are the group-by-group situations for each team within the event.

GROUP A

The Netherlands qualifies with a win or a tie towards Qatar.
If Netherlands loses to Qatar, it might probably nonetheless qualify if Ecuador defeats Senegal. However, if Netherlands loses and Ecuador attracts with Senegal, Netherlands can be tied with Senegal with 4 factors and Ecuador will win the group with 5. In that situation, the Netherlands’ loss to Qatar would need to be by one aim so as to qualify. If it loses by two targets, it can come down to whole targets scored. If each Netherlands and Senegal have the identical variety of targets scored, then Netherlands would advance due to defeating Senegal within the head-to-head. If Netherlands loses to Qatar by three or extra targets, then Senegal would advance.
If Netherlands and Ecuador each lose the third sport, there are further situations as Senegal would grow to be the group winner. The runner-up spot can be determined by aim distinction after which targets scored between the 2 squads. If each of these classes are tied, then it might come down to honest play — the variety of purple and yellow playing cards each team has. If honest play is equivalent, then it can come down to a random draw.
However, if Netherlands and Ecuador each win, then each groups will advance and the group winner can be decided by aim distinction after which targets scored. Again, if each these classes are equivalent, it can come down to honest play, adopted by a random draw if obligatory.
Ecuador qualifies with a win or a tie towards Senegal. If Ecuador loses, it might probably solely qualify if Netherlands additionally loses, in accordance with the above conditions making use of.
Senegal qualifies with a win towards Ecuador and would be the group-winner if Netherlands attracts or loses. Senegal might nonetheless advance with a draw, however Netherlands would need to lose, and once more, the above conditions would nonetheless apply. Senegal can not qualify with a draw if Netherlands attracts or wins. Senegal wouldn’t advance if it loses.
Qatar can not advance after two defeats.

GROUP B

England qualifies with a win or a tie towards Wales and are solely eradicated in the event that they lose by 4 or extra targets.
If England wins, it can end as group-winner, and would nonetheless win the group if the United States attracts Iran. In the scenario that England attracts and Iran defeats USA, then Iran would high the group and England could be runner-up. In the other situation the place England attracts however USA wins, USA should win by at the very least 4 targets to be the group-winner. Now, if England loses and Iran or USA wins, then the winner of that sport would high the group with England and Wales each having 4 factors. In that case, England would need to lose by not more than three targets so as to advance over Wales.
But if England loses and the Iran-USA sport ends in a draw, then each team within the group in addition to USA would have 4 factors. It would then come down to how a lot England misplaced to Wale by because the figuring out issue of the place it finishes. So lengthy as England doesn’t lose to Wales by seven targets, it might end as no worse than the runner-up within the group. Losing to Wales by three would put England in first and Wales in second, whereas dropping by 4 or 5 would swap these standings. Losing by six targets would make Wales the group winner with Iran and England being tied, then coming down to targets scored adopted by head-to-head outcomes if nonetheless stage.
Iran qualifies with a win towards the United States and is eradicated with a defeat. Iran qualifies with a tie, until Wales beats England, and Iran finishes behind each these nations on aim differential.
The USA qualifies with a win. With another end result, it’s eradicated. The USA can win the group if Wales defeats England, or if that match ends in a draw and USA scores sufficient targets to win the group primarily based on aim differential.
Wales should beat England to stand any probability of qualifying, and even then could be depending on the opposite end result within the group ending in a draw, and a aim differential tiebreaker. If the USA or Iran win, Wales would have to defeat the English by at the very least 4 targets to end forward of them.

GROUP C

Poland qualifies with a win or tie towards Argentina. Poland can high the group with a victory, or with a draw if Saudi Arabia attracts or loses. Poland is just not essentially eradicated with a loss, relying on the tiebreaker, which has aim differential as the primary standards. If Poland loses and Mexico wins, Poland and Mexico would each have 4 factors and be tied for the runner-up spot, with Argentina profitable the group. It would then come down to aim differential, adopted by targets scored, head-to-head outcomes after which fair-play factors. However, if Poland loses and Mexico attracts with Saudi Arabia, Poland would then be tied with Saudi Arabia at 4 factors. Again, the runner-up spot would then come down to what number of targets Poland loses to Argentina by. If Saudi Arabia wins outright and Poland loses, then Poland is eradicated.
Argentina qualifies with a win towards Poland. It additionally advances with a tie until Saudi Arabia wins towards Mexico, or, within the case of both different end result, it wins the tiebreaker. Argentina is eradicated with a loss to Poland. Argentina would win the group if Saudi Arabia attracts or loses. If they and Saudi Arabia each win, the group-winner would come down to aim differential, adopted by targets scored, after which head-to-head end result. So lengthy as Mexico and Saudi Arabia draw, they might be assured to at the very least advance. If Argentina attracts and Mexico defeats Saudi Arabia, Poland would win the group with 5 factors and Argentina and Mexico could be tied at 4 factors. The runner-up spot would then come down to aim differential and targets scored. If Mexico defeats Saudi Arabia by 4 or extra targets, Argentina wouldn’t advance with a draw.
Saudi Arabia advances with a win towards Mexico. Saudi Arabia can high the group if Poland and Argentina draw. It additionally advances with a tie if Poland beats Argentina, however is eradicated with a tie if Poland/Argentina additionally tie. If Saudi Arabia attracts and Argentina defeats Poland, Poland would have to lose by a minimal of three targets for Saudi Arabia to advance. In essence, Saudi Arabia can not qualify in the event that they lose to Mexico or if each video games finish in a draw.
Mexico qualifies with a win and if Poland beats Argentina. If Mexico wins and there may be another end result, a tiebreaker would determine second place. Mexico is eradicated with a tie or a defeat towards Saudi Arabia. If Mexico defeats Saudi Arabia by 4 or extra targets, they’re assured to advance.

GROUP D

France has certified with one sport to spare after beating Denmark. They will win the group with a win or draw vs Tunisia, or if Australia does not beat Denmark. If the French lose and Australia wins, aim differential and the next tiebreakers will determine the group winner.
Australia qualifies with a win towards Denmark in its final sport and is eradicated with a defeat. It additionally qualifies with a tie until Tunisia beats France. If the Socceroos draw and Tunisia wins, aim differential will come into play.
Denmark qualifies if it beats Australia, until Tunisia beats France and wins the tiebreaker. Tunisia can qualify if it beats France, however provided that the opposite sport is both a tie or a Denmark win, during which case it might nonetheless need to win a tiebreaker.

GROUP E

Spain qualifies with a win or tie towards Japan. A win would assure them the highest spot in group whereas a draw would additionally as long as Costa Rica attracts or loses as nicely. If Spain loses, it’s eradicated if Costa Rica beats Germany. With another end result within the Costa Rica vs Germany sport, Spain goes right into a tiebreaker — and has a present aim differential of +7. If Costa Rica and Germany tie, Spain would have to lose by 13 targets to not end as runners-up.
Japan advances with a win towards Spain and is eradicated with a loss. Japan also can high the group with a victory if Costa Rica attracts or loses. If Japan attracts, it’s eradicated if Costa Rica wins. With another end result, Japan goes right into a tiebreaker for second place. The one tiebreaker situation of notice is the occasion during which Japan attracts and Germany wins, as Germany would advance as runners-up over Japan in the event that they defeat Costa Rica by a couple of aim. If each of the Group E matches finish in a draw, Japan would advance as runners-up.
Costa Rica advances with a win towards Germany and is eradicated with a defeat. A victory would additionally give Costa Rica the highest group spot if Japan-Spain ends in a draw. If Costa Rica attracts, it advances if Spain beats Japan however won’t advance if Spain and Japan draw. If Costa Rica attracts and Japan wins, then “Los Ticos” will need to overcome a goal-difference deficit of 13 targets.
Germany is eradicated with a tie or a loss. Germany qualifies because the runners-up if it beats Costa Rica and Spain beats Japan. If the Germans win and Spain loses to Japan, it might have to overcome a aim distinction deficit of eight targets.

GROUP F

Morocco qualifies with a win or tie towards Canada. Morocco could be the group winner in the event that they win and if Croatia loses or attracts towards Belgium. If Morocco and Croatia each win, then the highest spot could be determined by aim differential and subsequent tiebreakers. Morocco is assured to end at the very least runners-up if each video games are attracts, or if it attracts and Croatia wins. Morocco additionally advances with a loss if Croatia beats Belgium, or if it wins a second-place tiebreaker within the occasion of a Croatia-Belgium draw. In that tiebreaker, Morocco would have to lose by 4 or extra targets to not qualify. If each Morocco and Croatia lose, Belgium would win the group and the runner-up spot could be determined in a tiebreaker as nicely.
Croatia qualifies with a win or draw towards Belgium. Croatia will win the group with a win if Morocco attracts or loses. If each matches finish in a draw, then Croatia will nonetheless win the group. If they draw and Morocco wins, then Croatia could be runners-up. Belgium qualifies with a win towards Croatia, and wins the group if Morocco attracts or loses. Belgium also can qualify with a tie, however provided that Morocco loses to Canada and it wins a second-place tiebreaker. If Belgium attracts and Morocco wins or attracts, then Belgium is eradicated.
Canada has been eradicated.

GROUP G

Brazil has certified and could be assured to high the group with a win or tie towards Cameroon, or if Switzerland does not beat Serbia. If Brazil loses and Switzerland wins, the group winner can be determined by aim distinction and subsequent tie breakers if obligatory.
Switzerland would qualify with a win towards Serbia. It would additionally qualify with a tie, until Cameroon beats Brazil and wins a second-place tiebreaker. If the Swiss drew and Cameroon received, then the 2 nations would each have 4 factors and ensuing tiebreakers could be applied. Switzerland can not qualify with a loss.
Serbia qualifies with a win towards Switzerland, if Cameroon fails to beat Brazil. If Serbia and Cameroon each win, then Serbia would need to win by a larger margin to compensate for aim differential.
Cameroon is eradicated if Switzerland beats Serbia. It can qualify with a win towards Brazil if Switzerland/Serbia is a tie or if Serbia wins, however provided that it wins a tiebreaker.

GROUP H

Portugal has certified and could be assured to high the group with a win or tie towards South Korea, or if Ghana does not beat Uruguay. If Portugal loses and Ghana wins, the group winner could be selected aim distinction and subsequent tiebreakers.
Ghana would qualify with a win towards Uruguay. It would additionally qualify with a tie, until South Korea beats Portugal and wins a second-place tiebreaker. South Korea would need to beat Portgual by two or extra targets for this to occur. Ghana can not qualify with a loss.
Uruguay qualifies with a win towards Ghana, and takes the runners-up spot if South Korea loses or attracts. If each Uruguay and South Korea win, then each groups could be tied with 4 factors behind Portugal. At that time, tiebreakers could be applied.
South Korea is eradicated if Ghana beats Uruguay. It can qualify with a win towards Portugal if Ghana/Uruguay is a tie or if Uruguay wins, however provided that it wins a tiebreaker.

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Martin Rogers is a columnist for FOX Sports and the writer of the FOX Sports Insider publication. Follow him on Twitter @MRogersFOX and subscribe to the daily newsletter.